Vox reported an interesting set of scientific facts regarding infection rates and death rates from COVID 19. Some argue that the infection rates are not increasing and that the increase is due to testing. Along with this argument is the statement that death rates are not going up.
Not quite so fast:
(Vox) “‘Why aren’t today’s deaths trending in the same way today’s cases are trending? That’s completely not the way to think about it,’ Eleanor Murray, an epidemiologist at Boston University, told [Vox]. ‘Today’s cases represent infections that probably happened a week or two ago. Today’s deaths represent cases that were diagnosed possibly up to a month ago, so infections that were up to six weeks ago or more.’
‘Some people do get infected and die quickly, but the majority of people who die, it takes a while,’ Murray continued. ‘It’s not a matter of a one-week lag between cases and deaths. We expect something more on the order of a four-, five-, six-week lag.’”
Therefore, you should not read too much into the lag between infections and death rates. Only time will tell us what is going on with death rates from COVID 19. For now, it is safe to say this virus is highly infectious and deadly.
Click here to read the rest of the story from Vox.
“If you tell the truth, you don't have to remember anything.”
― Mark Twain