When it comes to Donald Trump and winning in 2020, there are a lot of theories out there...here is the red mirage victory theory.
(Newsweek) “President Donald Trump could appear to win the November election in an apparent landslide when the first results come in, but lose once counting mail-in ballots is completed days later.
Hawkfish, a data and analytics firm funded by former New York Mayor Michael Bloomberg, has warned that Trump could win a phantom victory on election night because of the time it takes to tabulate votes sent by mail.
The firm's CEO Josh Mendelsohn told Axios that this result would be a "red mirage" that could pose problems given the president's attacks on mail-in ballots and accusations of voter fraud by Democrats.
‘We are sounding an alarm and saying that this is a very real possibility, that the data is going to show on election night an incredible victory for Donald Trump,’ Mendelsohn said.
‘When every legitimate vote is tallied and we get to that final day, which will be some day after Election Day, it will in fact show that what happened on election night was exactly that, a mirage.’
‘It looked like Donald Trump was in the lead and he fundamentally was not when every ballot gets counted,’ he said.
Significantly more Democrats than Republicans are expected to vote by mail in this November's election as Trump's criticisms of the process have had an impact with GOP voters.”
Everyone is trying to “forecast” or “predict” what could happen. Moreover, there are those who are trying to compare what happened in 2016 to what may happen in 2020.
The bottom line...voters decide and we hope they decide based on the facts not the conjecture.