B. Allen Bradford-We’ve all seen floods of commentary and analysis about Tuesday’s dramatic Alabama Senate election. But at least 5 significant points are being overlooked or underreported. Those are:
Upshot: Do NOT expect Democrats to start winning wholesale in the Deep South. But the Alabama race illustrates dramatically two emerging trends that will help Dems chip away at the red monolith. First, anyone who has worked in off year elections is familiar with the GOP’s large built in advantage—Republicans have reliably turned out in much higher numbers than Dems. This has NOT been happening this year, and I would not expect it to happen in 2018. Second, the millennial generation’s progressive tilt seems as real in the South as it is in the rest of the country. Ultimately, this should mean that states such as Georgia will at least turn purple. And after Tuesday, the Dems may even look for opportunity in, of all places, Alabama.