Is Tennessee going to turn more blue this November? With recent polling, it appears Phil Bredesen might be the democratic candidate to take the Senate seat from the red column to the blue column.
A new Middle Tennessee State University poll out Thursday found Bredesen up 10 percentage points, 45 percent to 35 percent, on GOP Rep. Marsha Blackburn, the conservative firebrand he’ll likely face in the general election. That’s the biggest polling lead that Bredesen, a former governor and one of Democrats’ top recruits this cycle, has had among the handful of surveys that have been released to date.
The results also speak to the crossover appeal of Bredesen, the only Democrat to win a statewide election in Tennessee in more than two decades. Twenty percent of self-identified Republicans said they’d vote for Bredesen, compared with just 5 percent of Democrats who said the same about Blackburn. That should terrify the GOP, which was already worried that the proudly un-P.C. Blackburn would turn off moderate conservatives. Still, roughly 1 in 5 respondents said they haven’t made up their mind, and it’s only been a little more than a month since Corker took himself out of the running. Slate
There are a few other things to consider about this polling:
First, the election is in November. That is a long way off. A lot can happen between now and November, making these early polls nice to talk about but…
Second, these polls are not predictors of who is going to be the winner. It is just too early, and there is…
Third, a significant number of undecideds who have yet to make up their minds…and
One final point, others may change their minds throughout the election process. Polling closer to the election will tell us more where each candidate places in voter’s minds. Even though this is a race to watch, these early polls tell us very little about what may happen on Election Day.