The political pundits are already speculating as to the meaning of today's election. The main question is whether Democrats can make headway in these elections undermining Donald Trump's message and his base support. Take for example the following:
Down ballot signs: A number of Democratic and progressive groups have poured millions of dollars into not only winning Virginia’s governor’s race, but cutting into the 17-seat GOP advantage in its House of Delegates. In interviews ahead of the election, organizers told Mic flipping five or more seats would signal a grassroots wave against the GOP.
Virginia’s legislative elections are seen as a precursor to the 2018 midterms. Republicans hold the governor’s office and state legislature in 26 states. Going into Tuesday, the GOP controls 33 state legislatures, including Virginia’s. Democrats are not only looking for a message that can strongly counter Trump’s, they’re also testing what could work to remove Republicans from power in Congress and state legislatures in 2018.
A Democratic New Jersey: With control of the state legislature, Democratic candidate for governor Phil Murphy should give Democrats control of New Jersey, with his likely win Tuesday. A former Goldman Sachs executive and ambassador to Germany during Barack Obama’s first term, Murphy would likely use his position between Washington and New York to grow his profile ahead of the 2020 election.
A Democratic Washington? If Democrats capture the Washington state Senate Tuesday, they’ll hold outright control of the West Coast. That will raise the profile of Washington Gov. Jay Inslee, and give “left coast liberals” further runway to implement an anti-Trump agenda.
Medicaid in Maine: Gov. Paul LePage, a Trump fan, declined Medicaid expansion. Maine’s moderate Republican senator, Susan Collins, has signaled an openness to expanding the program. On Tuesday, voters appear likely to approve Medicaid expansion through ballot initiative — a rebuke of their governor, Trump and Washington Republicans who have proposed gutting the program.
The quick version: If the Democrats essentially sweep on Tuesday — as in, if Northam and Murphy win, Democrats pick up at least five House seats in Virginia, the party takes over Washington state and Medicaid expansion passes in Maine — Republicans will feel a rebuke nationwide.
If Northam loses in Virginia, that narrative will drive the night — regardless of whatever Democrats accomplish elsewhere. As reported by MIC
Whether a sweep means rebuke for elections a year away is a bit of a stretch. Over the course of a year, things can drastically change resulting in different dynamics influencing voter choices. Tonight's results are not a sure fire predictor that Trump will suffer a rebuke in next year's election...a year is a very long time in politics, where anything can change.
Just think, last year many thought a Trump win was impossible. Look what happened.